Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:14:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:15:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
31% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 502.11
Unexplained QUAI: 1,131.56
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 89% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
1.4x previous minute
2.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
13
Asset volume
1,633.67 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E • 0x00306c628e898b28416dcDDf70CBF0C31C27a2eF.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 1634 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E • 0x00306c628e898b28416dcDDf70CBF0C31C27a2eF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:14:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (69% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (31%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
Net sender
Unknown type
445 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00306c628e898b28416dcDDf70CBF0C31C27a2eF
Net receiver
Unknown type
445 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
57.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00148dfC282Adf1DFb18eB13780b64659677B0e6
Net receiver
Unknown type
57.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,633.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:14:15 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
1,132.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:13:11 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
606.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:15:19 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
40,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
+2 min
3 tx
48.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:16:22 P.M.
-3 min
Best candidate53 tx
83,474.23 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:11:02 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
17,907.82 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:17:26 P.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:08:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
445 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:14:22 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
To: 0x00306c628e898b28416dcDDf70CBF0C31C27a2eF
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
57.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:14:22 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00148dfC282Adf1DFb18eB13780b64659677B0e6
Tx: 0x007f0048e7d91c0b16f48ec7a65e6d2076cf2affa536150002455611de00f3f7
445 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:14:22 P.M.
From: 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
To: 0x00306c628e898b28416dcDDf70CBF0C31C27a2eF
Tx: 0x004b004dc15a226bde72dde447385d5b22a08ad010458c007f2c6c9480c3c4cb
