Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:12:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,132.86
Unexplained QUAI: 38,867.14
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.47
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 39% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
0.5x previous minute
35x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
12
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
40,000 QUAI
2.47 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 40000 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 12 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
561.95 QUAI across 8 visible rows
0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
Net receiver
Unknown type
446.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
250.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00454A82d9fddAfabdA32B691816A75500b298fA
Net receiver
Unknown type
250.06 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0036EFAbdA65DFE0D0539D080E970D33BE13F7A3
Net sender
Unknown type
199.08 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 102.81 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
40,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
83,474.23 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:11:02 P.M.
+1 min
12 tx
1,132.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:13:11 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
1,633.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:14:15 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:08:56 P.M.
+3 min
4 tx
606.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:15:19 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:07:52 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
48.48 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:16:22 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
446.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
All transfers in this selected minute
12 transactions
102.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0049002a227264258d97b70ba29cb3a6832497631b60fff32b821a0fb42dfc67
250.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00454A82d9fddAfabdA32B691816A75500b298fA
Tx: 0x0042004edb386385f4399710c7e88b24bd877c1d4520c2ef1126fb5947a1c6e5
199.08 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x0036EFAbdA65DFE0D0539D080E970D33BE13F7A3
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x001e004720d13e4b6576ebef7ae91c24c2e05207e515b28c3c637c0f39bcc157
18.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x007e0020a911c70d4bc986e5c5993d92959f20904bf5782206ac173d492f1e20
19.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Tx: 0x0008007686124a93a1a571fcd5ca5fe1ea69ce8a785f8100e5fdeca1ca368e27
6.64 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002aBd4285bB9d9fF9e437f67941944f246c03F7
Tx: 0x005e0015cc0bd80bb3a4978592878aa4b845e0723006f5ca3d0f33a0223ca054
10.26 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x002DEc54E9A6Cf6e5025Ed220879F9B153CC9D73
Tx: 0x005e00559585d488134d7c17ab1be777d5b4cf82b55306370e70ddcde1b7d05a
5.76 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00415f09816976684b248044c91A62020d85B568
Tx: 0x0073005767ca67b069902587c0d3b9ca4cd8071ee31358d09e6f70bc82dad705
8.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Tx: 0x0016001cacd96316459050f88771b217a84e53edbcef2630d4719633cfa592db
446.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0039a2b06cE887b8A88aB959a63f8E204d0D061E
Tx: 0x005f000b7311f30ac8f33d0413732851221085d38a588ef80d26f29edf993358
6.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x00610e8E9Bbf5933193917ae6c6cA02104c8a670
Tx: 0x005700278acad1adf0ba5fb20afa1073b8c089702bf5fdef1478419ffb223861
58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:12:08 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x001F0af9403592c11b9e07659dc2F740e3075C39
Tx: 0x0058001afe555dd854232601d244f01435d6d0310cf88663b09a8960e558752d
