Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:11:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
48% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 40,000
Unexplained QUAI: 43,474.23
Explained QI: 2.47
Unexplained QI: 297.53
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
3.2x above local average
2.1x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
53
Observable rows
2
3.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
67
Asset volume
83,474.23 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 83474 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (52% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (48%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
40,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Net receiver
Unknown type
40,000 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.47 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.47 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate53 tx
83,474.23 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:11:02 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
40,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:12:06 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:08:56 P.M.
+2 min
12 tx
1,132.86 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:13:11 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:07:52 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
1,633.67 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:14:15 P.M.
-4 min
4 tx
79,453.34 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:06:48 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
606.62 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:15:19 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
40,000 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:11:20 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
2.47 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:11:21 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x004200dc9a8ddafe60c8a5257b28b0997b77abc6bca862e9e151b2438604fb2a
40,000 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:11:20 P.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x006C3e2AaAE5DB1bCd11A1a097cE572312EADdBB
Tx: 0x007b007e3c1deaf2611b1b5bcc8e2fcff07be177b0f4a1147b466221cad7404f