Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 4:12:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 4:13:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 353.4
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
71.5%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
332.12 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.47 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.47 QI across 2 visible rows
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
125.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
Net sender
Unknown type
105.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 332.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:12:25 P.M.
-1 min
10 tx
672.52 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:11:21 P.M.
-2 min
54 tx
994.72 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:10:16 P.M.
+2 min
Best candidate9 tx
1,676.82 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:13:35 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:09:11 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:14:39 P.M.
-4 min
2 tx
2.67 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:08:06 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/30/2026, 4:15:42 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
300 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.47 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:43 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006900880d9cbbc3ae65882f42bb1313e5496fc0a1a64f9fd6b4f160209edafb
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:43 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x007d27960335836b1aEA7312CCd8e48Db95227A0
Tx: 0x002f006a175fd605ea0182acbc4fa11dddfbe8d4093b51fa61e39445a7b2d523
125.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001e000f9c79744a1709d16e8ec5366ef4137a41eacfa60711198ef4df302301
105.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x004e84C5B931a633Ddb6f028Db2a26C3F0563609
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004f0005213d2477aebc6ef22ed36c0b5cc1871361803564747d9ed29760475e
101.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x004AC3051C3CF518fCEB00534ee7f62d058c7869
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0036003a0da2fb8968a468b4f68d76ee0b3efaf3ff3088fdc62612cd765ef64b
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x0059fFf667Fbc63C95177975Ef6Fd0b3C4BCa913
Tx: 0x001100256208a6bcc2b0c2b3ad1f1ae86bc6ebfc977a68b7449cffbe0562245d
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006500532b0ae73d006c68bce15d35af39a21ad5921fc199b41279d8f885b711
18.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 4:12:30 P.M.
From: 0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79
To: 0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907
Tx: 0x0049007a9ea25de6dc8b20710e97d2d09a0f19bd900209aba45c5967c5fd7d1f
