Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:11:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 200.8
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
2
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
9
Asset volume
0 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
200.8 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Net sender
Unknown type
100.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
Net sender
Unknown type
99.85 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 200.8 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
386.02 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:10:40 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
389.97 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:09:35 P.M.
+1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:11:43 P.M.
-2 min
50 tx
862.88 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:08:31 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
200.8 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:12:47 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate2 tx
1,153.61 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:13:52 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:07:27 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:14:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
100.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:11:55 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
99.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:11:55 P.M.
From: 0x00734b901cF8B9d636C2E5cAAb3c38BC738AEb90
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0004006b60eca7bf79000bf53ad0edeaf230c9b6b83d7a8078333c1a0f3de9bb
100.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:11:55 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003f0078d972d6be79afa5259b6c5802e57b1a5a5631a758e6a40536920d3779