Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 1:10:00 P.M. to 10/30/2026, 1:11:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.37
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 46% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.1x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
16
Asset volume
80.37 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 80 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da • 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 1:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
Net sender
Unknown type
80.37 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Net receiver
Unknown type
37.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Net receiver
Unknown type
27.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Net receiver
Unknown type
8.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004b0eeB9A1F96edd3C925B9B485acEC6C26137E
Net receiver
Unknown type
7.58 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:09:53 P.M.
-1 min
50 tx
928.21 QUAI • 66 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:08:48 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
80.37 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:10:56 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:12:00 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
59.02 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:06:43 P.M.
+3 min
Best candidate20 tx
1,474.71 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:13:04 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:05:39 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:14:08 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
37.07 QUAI
Derived whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:10:33 P.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
7.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:10:33 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x004b0eeB9A1F96edd3C925B9B485acEC6C26137E
Tx: 0x0044003e63d4b819098177a11c0252b8de65c11400f911c2fd7644a1f7880af0
37.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:10:33 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0020945a60e57EfaB7593e966479c733eb793af7
Tx: 0x0031002f1c8c2fef41a9680a2c9302cd0e4f066440257f1817aa570e86456835
8.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:10:33 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0069422d4C3e3Ed00D3AFb2A0A8D6621DA951708
Tx: 0x00020022e32652ed828e51e392240041e2148551554453e34a12c24fbace6bee
27.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:10:33 P.M.
From: 0x006c515c33b7dd4f2A298626e3Bf931e05B480da
To: 0x0059521422C0F8fC0967393b225188483C655e15
Tx: 0x007200488ca5c200664f56b48cf91469a1809964b353edfd5fd68e5065d4a559