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Spike bucket

10/30/2026, 9:44:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/30/2026, 9:44:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 9:45:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 19,999.13
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1900
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
8.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
7
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
19,999.13 QUAI
1900 QI
Avg confidence
94.6%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 19999 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8 • 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0 (4 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 9:44:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
Net sender
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Net receiver
Unknown type
19,999.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,600 QI across 4 visible rows
0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,600 QI across 4 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.38 QI across 2 visible rows

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
4 repeated flows • 1600 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

19,999.13 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:27 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Open txWallet profile

All transfers in this selected minute

7 transactions
2.38 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:49 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007e00ea36473c325d1129e718a1482f5637af8e67afdfc189100dd90b723fb3
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:49 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
Tx: 0x000200a654761c1dfe1ce86286c2a7bd08dda641153c588887823c51f1b2c9d3
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:49 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
Tx: 0x007500defa55a55beead45144fc138b856970329c1fc334fcbc86891eb17ffc0
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:27 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
Tx: 0x0079001c99666cb0a7a73d9640837a8b6e31a9e264d029c0837ac5180b38fa3c
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:27 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000500672b250183aad8d86e7509c03360efbce4d4a236a08ce2e13cd0680da0
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:27 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00FC6bD6Fb75b07C334920604288B09bCca5c9B0
Tx: 0x005400105e797b7d4ce8f5b9566e9436968bf51ffae382410156b0269121de4f
19,999.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 9:44:27 A.M.
From: 0x0011d16c5f4801D8d7B2eD4A84fC98D114Cb85b8
To: 0x002a08a5738c760Cca57A4b3F28Da7257982Ca49
Tx: 0x00530005b7577f5c6a810b84213ae8a9c2579deac24723efc52361c8caf47d54
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