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Spike bucket

10/30/2026, 7:31:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/30/2026, 7:31:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 7:32:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
12% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 80.27
Unexplained QUAI: 600.4
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
680.67 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority
What happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 681 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 7:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (88% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (12%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
  • Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
  • Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
  • Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938
Net receiver
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
Net sender
Unknown type
80.27 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00398f4AdA8f0353F82df103afCDb6DF33AB41C7
Net receiver
Unknown type
80.27 QUAI across 1 visible row

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
  • Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
  • Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
  • Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

Biggest whale alert

400 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:31:07 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938

All transfers in this selected minute

3 transactions
3.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:31:52 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938
Tx: 0x000c00fff4e22a7ad113a353bb4bc0d561043bd4d1692f2dafd3d2263f08ec85
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:31:07 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00b3277A640Efe8f9b8Fa2158f627698Ff2FC938
Tx: 0x004f0017a587d537822eaa048661063ce183e42a289602ae30b65d6f1f2927d2
80.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 7:31:07 A.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00398f4AdA8f0353F82df103afCDb6DF33AB41C7
Tx: 0x00570014131cff5700842c144ac9ea4f273f4cef8a54f0eb05ccab3ce38baddc