Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 6:06:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 6:07:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
14% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,725.21
Unexplained QUAI: 10,991.28
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
6.9x above local average
7.4x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
6
54.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
12,716.49 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 12716 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 6:06:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (86% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (14%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,725.21 QUAI across 4 visible rows
Known watch context
0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
Net sender
Unknown type
650.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007005200a74d9fFc2856214bCDFCcfF51c9fd15
Net sender
Unknown type
442.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00788a705321113A2212510c089b66D75A99b0e2
Net sender
Unknown type
331.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.5 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,725.21 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate11 tx
12,716.49 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:06:02 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:04:58 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,725.21 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:07:06 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:03:54 A.M.
+2 min
26 tx
374.74 QUAI • 40 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:08:11 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:02:50 A.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:09:15 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/30/2026, 6:01:46 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
650.25 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:34 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007200e021156bfb2c63da54c4d1a37b7cf6cd0387a2411b962d1cf29ee63052
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0069001d992cc971411061a050b766096450c89de1dd7e501fb9dd00b3b98921
331.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x00788a705321113A2212510c089b66D75A99b0e2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006f000343878e908d7ea0a07cb6df02defa8b55f8bca2861ccf7997056e5d5a
442.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x007005200a74d9fFc2856214bCDFCcfF51c9fd15
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00660058b064741fa9158c9a6b6c45bcc377c028a6c93db44da9ff72e5a17d2e
650.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x007C216a9Da0Ec5909f3D52f444Cb0747fC73630
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0061005177c2e33a7cc9a85b9f8bc85fb74da62af86ee2e587e68012ef89dc65
300.43 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 6:06:03 A.M.
From: 0x005C6f59dD488E0f47F8E4Ade75E7533DEF93465
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003d001e6abcc1a03e4caea42761ff36616eddba01a6da9de69486f287b8262c