Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 3:51:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 3:52:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
58% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 12,724.86
Unexplained QUAI: 9,084.8
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
1.2x above local average
7.6x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
6
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
21,809.67 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 21810 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C • 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00bEA2a1e31854bB7568495368dDA3951CD06fC3 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 3:51:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (42% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (58%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Net sender
Unknown type
10,412.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,412.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,312.52 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,159.7 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Net receiver
Unknown type
885.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00bEA2a1e31854bB7568495368dDA3951CD06fC3
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
1,528.39 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:50:34 A.M.
-1 min
3 tx
2,854.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:49:30 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
21,809.67 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:51:39 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
885.71 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:52:43 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:48:25 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:53:48 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate7 tx
113,006.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:47:22 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:54:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,412.34 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:31 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
885.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:52 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fFD6fd12e6F07B0775BB9D5636187ceD192a1
Tx: 0x00600041b95995a1c73d7e4517b23231ae056e6105fef91626cc5b0b3a4add29
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:52 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00bEA2a1e31854bB7568495368dDA3951CD06fC3
Tx: 0x0014000c536eb487940a2041c87d99e0edea54a8836f12c09d56750093cc9926
3.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:31 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00bEA2a1e31854bB7568495368dDA3951CD06fC3
Tx: 0x001f00b658a242194121a86d6426d3d5979c7a6384be661985f44d20121bff0a
267.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:31 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007fdab43e62412a74b95597c80999ebf86811Ed
Tx: 0x00660057b15f1ce6a32b97a5706ecf8d7fcbf0dd214e58463bb4b1e121999ed2
10,412.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:31 A.M.
From: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x0077004d90184449f89735f4c4ad87eb1089a4e855970cfafd328ec7b0a61aa5
1,159.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:51:01 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007E9B5AF9FF35A1a8aBD7577F67b4c58591fedD
Tx: 0x000a0056539135cf7455fcba29d9b4c927ccc128c318b595b3e25f705d0be9f7