Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 3:46:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 3:46:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 3:47:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 113,006.9
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.3x above local average
0.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
5,312.86 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 5313 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 3:46:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
101,128.64 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1
Net receiver
Unknown type
50,568.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
50,560.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
11,878.27 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,413.8 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 50,560.51 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
5,312.86 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:46:16 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:45:12 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
113,006.9 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:47:22 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
739.02 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:44:08 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:48:25 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
14,354.72 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:43:04 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
1,490.22 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:41:58 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
2,854.12 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:49:30 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
50,568.12 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:51 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
50,568.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:51 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0053d4764AC0842742EC14d8a16f16D02A9823a1
Tx: 0x005900063d2d71b5f6159ab89be4910a7b4ca3633f808282de65ed27332bbb6c
566.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:51 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b8C0AD9db247E692926b896093861583cD60A
Tx: 0x00700073cfa211a0da04a78697d9df64bfd34ea051d5f82b70b8c131fb06c4aa
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:51 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00F668537D861820FBC3437a61F0e7bBD3Fb0F53
Tx: 0x00480030f65ab9441072f974d495b0bffacdbe8fb6bc0f5d594a2908e4dbfe34
897.98 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:32 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007b56BF094A9BcB898Bf7D56A1D1dA85E717624
Tx: 0x00440014377d5d969f92f8371685b735af29c10a723d9284668d88a56074bc9e
50,560.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:32 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0079003c249603ad94996da8e655df69c0311a8238b27b19891d9a88be8977ad
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:16 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0031008dd919c89232284f6f91f5cd47db42f89f8f24618a78e34fe78d3a5b37
10,413.8 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:46:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x007aD581CA72926f6D2D79C43024259057c8e61C
Tx: 0x003400744f3d08cac8ef549e46db3db7c9204cf554992f8a4d7f53d83b4875e6
