Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 3:16:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 3:17:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
49% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 8,698.09
Unexplained QUAI: 9,155.39
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 42% of explained volume
Relative context
2.5x above local average
0.9x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
22
Observable rows
10
45.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
17,853.48 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
69.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 17853 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00F5a90F193D39b71E6c1a52d30a3c3Fa5843577 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 3:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (51% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (49%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
4,407.13 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
4,290.96 QUAI across 4 visible rows
0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,640.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,099.59 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Net receiver
Unknown type
917.13 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00F5a90F193D39b71E6c1a52d30a3c3Fa5843577
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
22 tx
17,853.48 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:16:13 A.M.
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:15:09 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate10 tx
20,819.52 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:17:19 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
3,179.12 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:14:05 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:18:23 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:13:02 A.M.
+3 min
6 tx
1,725.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:19:27 A.M.
-4 min
41 tx
13,379.69 QUAI • 51 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:11:57 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,640.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:19 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
2,099.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x005687Ce20EFAFc5e053E5a33efAC2b1209264d4
Tx: 0x004500631f9eb9575f755892f7ce3d86d66d8577ec3b23f756fafb962e759fde
217.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0068D7b4EC2B7E35c4743549FEE9d5777A5Da038
Tx: 0x0050001ef5f20a0af016d95205de1a2c519be3ee380d26f5395cecfcb843a8db
172.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00687D48F1d1aD2cAE9C437eaDEc9ba7497094c7
Tx: 0x005f005e24906c0fc43385d08eb2dbb5228fd9ce35c833f30f481356f5d12ea4
905.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00566d3A7733Bca76aa6A7A4648406DcCe35d7D1
Tx: 0x0057003d232de1cc0b9f5f2e1f48d5a7d39c43773bacc6d8625aad1db43cf93d
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:41 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00F5a90F193D39b71E6c1a52d30a3c3Fa5843577
Tx: 0x002d00399c8a854dd6eb144e11ab1e1239c82aa083cbcb887c34ced1a0c093e6
368.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:19 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055Fd4067b5508a37d3573EC47f250203eBaa81
Tx: 0x00510031bc84d4ba51d691fb64038af428d1371bc06806d09bc96d3c2feb6f64
3,640.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:19 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00679dC2781eCCEC34CA032fC58f3DA7d838C5Fa
Tx: 0x00050018b06dca4acdc394dedb8ecaae097a46e09331586e3df1912f2b1c588c
3.03 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:10 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00F5a90F193D39b71E6c1a52d30a3c3Fa5843577
Tx: 0x001f00e31e9d148a7bd9bc446ff245d7d90d5931315e0b95d6fb4c08b0e32217
917.13 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:03 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0055EeF1DcFad9BAe71F4e24a386219D0d3E948f
Tx: 0x004f005c96a88793cfbd7d8542f5712fa901cf52faf9a62174128c39b5ad8caf
375.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 3:16:03 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00672Ef8BD60CE97263FFd4A6b35963d28574a6E
Tx: 0x002f000b3f0d95ddabd42ab2fa56fdd71a79146130b98c481aa94e03aa7b3779
