Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:58:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
19% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,818.86
Unexplained QUAI: 7,887.72
Explained QI: 3.06
Unexplained QI: 396.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 94% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
9,706.58 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 9707 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (81% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,702.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,702.71 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
116.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0050A42ED956Fd31A9913EfCa216f8dcA7c2Ec20
Net receiver
Unknown type
116.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
3.06 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
3,501.44 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:57:51 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate14 tx
26,626.7 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:56:46 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
9,706.58 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:58:55 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,251.7 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:55:41 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
1,545.06 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
10,965.25 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:54:37 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
8,122.52 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/30/2026, 3:01:04 A.M.
-4 min
15 tx
8,681.06 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:53:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,702.71 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:58:23 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
1,702.71 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:58:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004863CfD13Cac71079219B5B81d10a5f0C4d83f
Tx: 0x0019006ecf1545d18a707a1b9d8714edf69de3639d01ad8442e21029668ecdde
116.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:58:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0050A42ED956Fd31A9913EfCa216f8dcA7c2Ec20
Tx: 0x004f00523ffafde24b0b11ef589c4f6cb4371ff3250a5d5623d8568611643bff
3.06 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:58:16 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a838A6321881C7B727Faa66C44239caF1Fd437
Tx: 0x0004009106dc22fc55ace81c8497d2fb8e4dea73b21d1632ed2c9c58593e57b6