Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:50:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:51:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
71% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 6,577.71
Unexplained QUAI: 2,749.2
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
1.6x above local average
2.1x previous minute
3.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
14
Observable rows
10
71.4% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
9,326.91 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
65.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 9327 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F • 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:50:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (29% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 10 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,844.65 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,664.07 QUAI across 1 visible row
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
1,922.13 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
810.93 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Net sender
Unknown type
644.42 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 1,922.13 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
14 tx
9,326.91 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:50:19 A.M.
-1 min
8 tx
4,396.15 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:49:14 A.M.
+1 min
9 tx
2,467.68 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:51:24 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:48:10 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate8 tx
13,188.06 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:52:28 A.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:47:07 A.M.
-4 min
13 tx
8,231.1 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:46:03 A.M.
+4 min
15 tx
8,681.06 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:53:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,664.07 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:02 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
All transfers in this selected minute
10 transactions
364.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0044CC6785AD1166177A3D26cb3CF23122792138
Tx: 0x001d007e77aa75587ffcebfe3d2b753a617fafb4740380e0c9d6aff410057009
180.58 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003Dc4eDA0c79E6B30DAebC1110Bb0268e9a6713
Tx: 0x007c00440e2558169099f7aeacf149612db9852088e178c7be5a7b4f60fc9efc
436.82 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x00385AE34cE18C52D03Dc1C6B091E15976f4377E
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0015004e497db7c87cd47927d5f0465130c3bdad953fe07da05f63477157b072
238.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00340050902e58dd54046d78756c1469dc552cd7aef073afae8a7ebcf4640b9a
489.85 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x00398bEFa5CA1Cd3A4e4F5A657A3B8C8d50128F7
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005200697e743ffdb6c1103ae8c508c613f071c10d69e7a1d15c7c98673aac31
112.45 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x003B9EB11D8fA06841E5AC54f997AEED3E593bCB
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e0019d56be47ae62741b0642b510c49af603e78d7b56016370e4c59aece6a
644.42 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0002003e495e85b3647e65b3c039982a12ccfd8d671bb4a6d570cf75500e6dd3
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:49 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a838A6321881C7B727Faa66C44239caF1Fd437
Tx: 0x006400428606b618b30e28d0aaf52be8e393745144c4494a9ed3d1565a25c622
3,664.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:02 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003dB63404fad47C001D75D2F00d5249b2d8A90C
Tx: 0x0030007c26a1f7ad17dfa97b4f1c791c011993ccaedd42f2284a5c6105032198
445.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:50:02 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004447F6E93A4D5A22dE8Ab22CE0C58E4d01471F
Tx: 0x0019005a526a114e3e11d3a4a7936de2611e128ac07cb0a1970558d7d42833e6
