Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:38:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:39:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
50% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 844.7
Unexplained QUAI: 831.06
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
5
62.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
1,675.77 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
84.8%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1676 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (50% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (50%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
691.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Net receiver
Unknown type
691.66 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
406.1 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C
Net receiver
Unknown type
406.1 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
153.05 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C
3 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:37:26 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
1,675.77 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:38:31 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate12 tx
19,861.74 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
+2 min
16 tx
14,473.78 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:39:36 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
2,414.69 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:35:19 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
9,245.65 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:40:41 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
7,035.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:34:15 A.M.
+4 min
6 tx
12,045.83 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:41:45 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
691.66 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
3.05 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:25 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C
Tx: 0x000b00ec627d9e08a630b01e8343b0c99573292fc6e07051f794e1839a080531
3.05 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:13 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C
Tx: 0x003a00f092648a865939faa001a8954f3d03b0d82c4b5ae9e6f0c19b3efe5d8f
153.05 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x00050036a602af5a21dc7f328e4ebc4554f5ef938c8038a8ed62a74cc99837ce
691.66 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0034a74a6305326A8E3668aEAC21AE08da1d816B
Tx: 0x0053003b678c15b757be357ef259eee81eea19796a0491f5f87f9602f3fc0eed
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:38:07 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00Fb55bFaf0A2f08FDd2ed14Aa6Cc713097d6F9C
Tx: 0x0053004502bfaffbe68e7be8d8980bfba1f899b970b8369955c015dae63c34e4