Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:33:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 7,035.87
Unexplained QUAI: 5,353.92
Explained QI: 800
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
1.5x above local average
6.1x previous minute
1.8x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
20
Observable rows
7
35.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
35
Asset volume
12,389.79 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
72.9%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0079513844A7c4AE09AC9f4735Bd170a3a6342c1 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 12390 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0079513844A7c4AE09AC9f4735Bd170a3a6342c1 • 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0079513844A7c4AE09AC9f4735Bd170a3a6342c1
Net sender
Unknown type
3,497.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,497.11 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,476.07 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,330.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,062.69 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
2 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
20 tx
12,389.79 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:33:11 A.M.
-1 min
9 tx
2,019.02 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:32:06 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
7,035.87 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:34:15 A.M.
-2 min
7 tx
9,464.15 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:30:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
2,414.69 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:35:19 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:29:55 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate12 tx
19,861.74 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:36:23 A.M.
-4 min
14 tx
14,321.84 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:28:51 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,497.11 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0079513844A7c4AE09AC9f4735Bd170a3a6342c1
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3,497.11 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x0079513844A7c4AE09AC9f4735Bd170a3a6342c1
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x0034001c0a81a73b1812c3670a205af466c4395aff5e9ccf9c052e33576dab7a
2,330.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0026f466C5e703E513415Cf98eF844dbA6469983
Tx: 0x00710014aa55b4001ab7b337588e69e521f1fbbcaa42747d70d4e553a325dc77
950.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002Dd4A7b889b8F26fE57952eF088978bd6de867
Tx: 0x004c0039e70773c9a20ea02e6eb3b9a26b6ee3082c9e8e33797e4b6b6f324d21
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:58 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Tx: 0x0005007631d82de09bb868301bba9dc66d431a27809bd6d79b2708b37896f6ea
112.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x002d9879066dafFA65f3E73BDEd7371e2371626A
Tx: 0x005f006c46cee2ed327285afd8efb8e27d612b65b8be92e94ea9c0e60176dffe
145.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002696dD862D6588EE7501Ea56A8406FC0eCa653
Tx: 0x002b0040f611243e0b14c2d7d6ab0ae5e584cf9fc788e79a84dcbd45fadd3031
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:33:24 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Tx: 0x001f0070a86b000fd32d36a9ea1b8721f00fa7ead4ada28d26d3c846079add2e