Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:23:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:24:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
8% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,171.43
Unexplained QUAI: 14,269.91
Explained QI: 800
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
1.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
15,441.33 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 15441 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:23:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (92% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (8%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
803.07 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Net receiver
Unknown type
803.07 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
523.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Net receiver
Unknown type
523.03 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
515.62 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
3 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:22:27 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
15,441.33 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:23:32 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate15 tx
21,466.67 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:21:23 A.M.
+2 min
11 tx
5,747.15 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:24:36 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
1,176.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
+3 min
12 tx
3,331.83 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:25:40 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
12,215.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
-5 min
13 tx
12,132.09 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:18:11 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
523.03 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Tx: 0x004b009481e441b1dad7fb52ddc2411abbf896f038f91142af2e8a64fa290266
515.62 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0025c1f0DeA4c465Afdd41cAaB6E2cC6F530A800
Tx: 0x005f0052842cb82705db64d863c471cfd297afb2a3bc37b578e1c352fe984ab3
132.78 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x005aF2683fAc9733B9F767C7ADAd7f3E0864cE0B
Tx: 0x005a00545bdd17d85042e2434b158dd69ac40c85d229d07b0e9f2a84a09bc16e
523.03 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0017e043bC29e32850Bf62db9A38E53A989708d7
Tx: 0x0012006db3d4a56a25a13c2d2603689e3aeaaa62fc0ddaecafac9d7fe9a606de
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:44 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Tx: 0x00680040c4a4be2b564fa60452fbe429946e1ad34760fcb39284c7fc4cafce0d
2.39 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007700adb8e4a8bcf0a047da9512fecdfe89a9c8bdc2dd2b732c97009e699ff8
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:23:28 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00BAC128624Fa4a44c4fd0da0244fcE3C19e6A1f
Tx: 0x005000ac14a53f15d4ed19ac76e7395cf2895a3e8bebdb3c71e26f37793444e1