Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:19:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:20:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,629.1
Unexplained QUAI: 7,586.15
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
1.0x previous minute
10x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
11
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
28
Asset volume
12,215.25 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
75.8%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 12215 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:19:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 11 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,939.86 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,662.79 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,575.46 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Net receiver
Unknown type
811.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
763.86 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
11 tx
12,215.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
-1 min
13 tx
12,132.09 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:18:11 A.M.
+1 min
6 tx
1,176.66 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:20:19 A.M.
-2 min
14 tx
4,985.88 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:17:06 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate15 tx
21,466.67 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:21:23 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
8,120.49 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:22:27 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
15,895.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:14:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,662.79 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
All transfers in this selected minute
11 transactions
2.42 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:45 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005600b0b454497e540c7df40de5cc8ab5cced18696b8bc94babe4de9cecefa0
3.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:30 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
Tx: 0x003100b2df8404f50d8cc5c292c63ebbe6f389cbc1ba6cfec8e57bf319934f25
135.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:24 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003d52F680f08272661A42C320831b54Ff1f21dd
Tx: 0x0025003c0eeb4f4fc2c6791e3162165f704a8f7b1d54cf9e4482eb09a55469df
277.07 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:24 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001Eda6B985a28e6ce542825bC5839f5Ab8E89d4
Tx: 0x002b001d5fbac4a6de044be3c57b306d75bb28efc427f641edc1e35332f1424d
763.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:24 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x000b00320a4671b38c46a339c19c18558f736d7b24f0b913b7a06b717b3f76b1
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:24 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0054001eae86de883a9c3e800826fddcfa35c84b10c942e315c27abb610888d8
364.59 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004001E703f26A994673422aB86Ad04302745f8D
Tx: 0x0023004842be7c9fe821561302c517dfada520b22cc700daf924e07974768210
811.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0015358387Ed8c850012a58515fe5D0d5603d58e
Tx: 0x007900293149e7c83a9d204bc129096d23dc423fc3df08aab8a8eb3eac05b3bf
1,662.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x001dcB6f04438239f3e0F93538df5f64fF13F4a3
Tx: 0x003b00361fd63fa0ba425018a6f5032629632a8cbcfe420a04dcd50a3306a2da
613.47 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x003C459Cc8371f4433EF843bc10980A4697cb085
Tx: 0x0024007f18e39c444bae00c73fffaeabd13ea22985e8771136887a84b14ec7f4
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:19:07 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
Tx: 0x003a0003d5064e880062c6a89b3cba9a862ed485b6f575eca1158ca4514f8e9c