Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:16:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:17:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
61% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 4,985.88
Unexplained QUAI: 3,134.61
Explained QI: 700
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 22% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
0.5x previous minute
1.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
14
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
8,120.49 QUAI
700 QI
Avg confidence
70.1%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 8120 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (39% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 14 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,164.8 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
1,340.53 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015504aaed877285b5b28F1A66b6A9e9C0d27af
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,076.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
861.74 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Net receiver
Unknown type
738.92 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
8,120.49 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:16:00 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate3 tx
15,895.34 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:14:56 A.M.
+1 min
14 tx
4,985.88 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:17:06 A.M.
-2 min
16 tx
15,187.02 QUAI • 39 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:13:52 A.M.
+2 min
13 tx
12,132.09 QUAI • 33 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:18:11 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
4,114.93 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:12:47 A.M.
+3 min
11 tx
12,215.25 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:19:15 A.M.
-4 min
28 tx
5,813.9 QUAI • 41 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:11:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,076.61 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015504aaed877285b5b28F1A66b6A9e9C0d27af
All transfers in this selected minute
14 transactions
141.86 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x002957DEd54dE17508b179993989978e448690cD
Tx: 0x005f0065886f3556a978cdd93b5d8ac684a078370c49b88cc830624bdaa898ed
349.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015Eaa741Ba5CCd5D99D1D0c26d16D02fDd9054
Tx: 0x0064001880d2288c7da4175fb3c10d9c0c57254b49f2be7d9f10e636425036f6
119.16 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:54 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000F912f5517aa0b1D91a012A34FA0782559be19
Tx: 0x0019003b5972fc868c5a3d4344abc225315344c7072def9346019835a83e723c
568.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0027a5bC35F2EA14fB6427668a2233eE5DDE73bD
Tx: 0x004f003076d066b7a6237b37a49b790d5e1e9140d798fe25f1414a42930aec67
738.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015D7708aB67E1a895AD5b303FFEEd37CbA8428
Tx: 0x00620048c436e2eb420c786cf9eb1e664cd4158f610e0cf8121335278a8d90b5
566.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000e8704A804059C06b693799e1b8cee7DA78161
Tx: 0x0026002ecd95466a212b2b8d5b33ea0483c4f5ee8dd756b0311d302d00a445c3
118.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x00044cDa9FC31DD29aeEc2Ab0Fb6F0cc8C5bc892
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00720058c7f5fa41e97fff5f96fb7319119edc0a0fb51f0830513710682a35cf
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
Tx: 0x0022007f98fb7fcb1a0f84510d5d73485c16db57b47c98b7ce8639d5e2f72ad6
500 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:45 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x001136c5Ed585f2499a2dD26275092f03d0bbc90
Tx: 0x00470039eacc2fd343e72605d988140c8891efaf5c0fc76905d99f13f381b384
2.44 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:27 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006800d5f00cb65944e13275460e7fe3d0232a39f569d2cceb958e641cb1a39e
1,076.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0015504aaed877285b5b28F1A66b6A9e9C0d27af
Tx: 0x00490059482e4e528d9caa356946e7414e5f9aae397ffb22e38e98d916575b14
151.09 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0025E8476A4d9B0a14A490d982899384F3e42437
Tx: 0x002900293b6356f13c022231c43bb561518a6db4766191b20b04683b4f576a71
655.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
Tx: 0x002e004e9492425df3fd8927f3d711fbd36bfb33d8bab7723ec241922a65464d
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:16:16 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x007d000c3f2f849fe9dfa2bcfff49a81936bda8811828014e8db9a74bbf1f831
