Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
57% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 0
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 800
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 0% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
12
Asset volume
0 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
100.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (43% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (57%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
803.06 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Net receiver
Unknown type
800 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.06 QI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.39 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.39 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
2 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:04:13 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:03:09 A.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:05:16 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:02:05 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
339.96 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:06:22 A.M.
-3 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:01:01 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate9 tx
990.39 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 2:07:26 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:59:56 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QI
Derived whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
3.06 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:04:18 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00D52d1f0fc5d30b19EBed6B268Fc7E5155d3F67
Tx: 0x0014009ebac94f67bdcec734ac7787a961d0a03f4b793616d484029d7e1e7287
2.39 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x002900829efcf0348824fe6fbe789f6fd5a1c391eef972fba75710c2dd79d2c7
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Tx: 0x006b0090ef37ccd7a04975b62b0f766fa992a8c7e77730f394f2c5df9593de68
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Tx: 0x001600e11f3248733556d1bd4201ca78a354b087247d50afb54ab37f69fe2dde