Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 1:54:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 1:54:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 1:55:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
34% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 49.6
Unexplained QUAI: 97.62
Explained QI: 800
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.9x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
4
57.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
19
Asset volume
147.22 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 147 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 1:54:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (66% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (34%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
800 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Net receiver
Unknown type
800 QI across 2 visible rows
0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
Net sender
Unknown type
49.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00370B6bF806Cc4aC838181bCf8D62430d4e20A2
Net receiver
Unknown type
49.6 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.38 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
2 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:53:32 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate7 tx
147.22 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:54:36 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:52:28 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:55:41 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:56:44 A.M.
-4 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:50:24 A.M.
+4 min
5 tx
1 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:57:49 A.M.
-5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:49:20 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:54:27 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:54:27 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Tx: 0x0020002f5fdabe1ff627489af2fdb7758e6cedb438aa92e6763054acf4685285
49.6 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:54:27 A.M.
From: 0x006c65b3fA9b5d5A7114F13Ce2BDa87eE8A69Bf4
To: 0x00370B6bF806Cc4aC838181bCf8D62430d4e20A2
Tx: 0x003d00741c7fdb2f29b19367f11ab48c8986fbf6e32b484a1c61f1eab2a6ad63
2.38 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:54:18 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000600caa5ab967b302a60d257fce678981dc0a0b3f36fe2c844b7b78b7bf2ea
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 1:54:18 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00C027EbDb126C0c9353bC78983beb88E49bA6ef
Tx: 0x002800b5d2dbc9397f7c01dacdbae5a26e67d3dba804d64bea51f0b3bc748a24