Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 12:57:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 12:58:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 25,731.53
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 55% of explained volume
Relative context
2.1x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
5
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
7
Asset volume
25,731.53 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
77.2%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000b07B0d6497Ea21511B7278eE5CA210AF6E96D.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 25732 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x000b07B0d6497Ea21511B7278eE5CA210AF6E96D.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00DfCd1D78eB1E7fbc5104C33e3174567f9B7B7b (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 12:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
14,069.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000b07B0d6497Ea21511B7278eE5CA210AF6E96D
Net receiver
Unknown type
14,069.81 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
11,661.72 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Net receiver
Unknown type
11,201.39 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0054a354d686E7B93eAF6844201f55BDBca2b26C
Net receiver
Unknown type
460.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00DfCd1D78eB1E7fbc5104C33e3174567f9B7B7b
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 25,731.53 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:56:58 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate14 tx
72,869.55 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:55:54 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
25,731.53 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:58:01 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:54:50 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:59:05 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:53:46 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 1:00:09 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:52:43 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
14,069.81 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:49 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000b07B0d6497Ea21511B7278eE5CA210AF6E96D
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
460.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:49 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0054a354d686E7B93eAF6844201f55BDBca2b26C
Tx: 0x000000104f399763c8fda031c5309cd6a00c5b28d570e06a3210c46acabf0a0c
11,201.39 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:49 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0039e50889ff4463517C97C1F5Ee962999c9D3B6
Tx: 0x00270003cc54ad0596fa553b578804a1e1294dfcb97176e2eed509424470d8d6
14,069.81 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:49 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x000b07B0d6497Ea21511B7278eE5CA210AF6E96D
Tx: 0x006e004c074524fedba79c86d5569649b352b30d3551567e523dcc2f09b74168
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:49 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00DfCd1D78eB1E7fbc5104C33e3174567f9B7B7b
Tx: 0x0004005a8f677b78d2664db686b0c1ced8ca95e46a0cc5039fd41acbd378c232
3.1 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:57:23 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00DfCd1D78eB1E7fbc5104C33e3174567f9B7B7b
Tx: 0x003500cc4e89acede64cf4cbf1eb025429ba575d8d4f44140ce921743b6a39c4