Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 12:14:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 12:15:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 768.96
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 15% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.1x previous minute
0.4x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The visible flow is broad and internally consistent.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
296.02 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + high confidence + 296 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
738.17 QUAI across 7 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
Net sender
Unknown type
117.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
Net sender
Unknown type
106.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
Net sender
Unknown type
104.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
Net sender
Unknown type
103.68 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 738.17 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
296.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:14:25 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate2 tx
2,919.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:13:21 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
768.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:15:29 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:12:18 A.M.
-3 min
24 tx
1,121.22 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
151.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:16:33 A.M.
-4 min
52 tx
851.97 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:10:08 A.M.
+4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:17:37 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
117.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
103.04 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007700243b9ed4c5abace3a2023c14c228abdc0e14cbdb7c772897ccd0b00163
106.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x00388C9574C82Acc4d1164E1C298E630260878b2
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0020001e7b32bfe20018832ce00bd7cf619d56b191734d97168bd41e34b26889
117.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x002d8E0923EfE6900B0208fb1a895Fcc4080EBf6
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00040002944ec8d0c4401224fc4a549acd5009afeaaf263d6790636a2e24620a
104.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x00477ad3f237A822228bA4aE075849781895c8B5
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003e000d6c7a83b270c700729a904d1aa31d16cf2e11a21048f55fe312d69fa0
103.68 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x00515189167FA8989c7E7930A3F2E464Db049fFc
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0071004f34b2db6651f72b815715ee8f9ecb4f8b58dbc1043b045a98a8ec986f
99.92 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x002776F2cd8833C4409c9A17E1465214617CE92e
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0003001d7149ad90c7f63297f571999547331419e2b47bf148b981d0f4604b7d
103.1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00530024e8301fbda5a15d48c42711ff88046579f619d8f7d7e11890efdf497b
30.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:14:52 A.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x00510073c01aef51335eeeb2b9fa2de7d8c81c52e1a564300ef7736bbd47a20e
