Spike bucket
10/30/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/30/2026, 12:13:00 A.M. to 10/30/2026, 12:14:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
17% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 505.36
Unexplained QUAI: 2,413.98
Explained QI: 2.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 59% of explained volume
Relative context
3.8x above local average
9.9x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
4
Asset volume
2,919.34 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 2919 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86 • 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/30/2026, 12:13:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (83% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (17%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
Net sender
Unknown type
296.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Net receiver
Unknown type
296.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
209.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328
Net receiver
Unknown type
209.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.49 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
2,919.34 QUAI • 4 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:13:21 A.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:12:18 A.M.
+1 min
2 tx
296.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:14:25 A.M.
-2 min
24 tx
1,121.22 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:11:12 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
768.96 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:15:29 A.M.
-3 min
52 tx
851.97 QUAI • 67 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:10:08 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:09:04 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
151.25 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/30/2026, 12:16:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
296.02 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:13:30 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:13:30 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00720088a694aec8d9aa505674ab52337750ee16876b1d76145f993b10a5cb0a
296.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:13:30 A.M.
From: 0x002917f6b8B971363Cdc79666D6dFB982a00ef86
To: 0x004Bc407903A51506bcF0b1aB423958c5991c237
Tx: 0x0040001ff3baee7c747d59b265efbc829541f53eb77e941d2cbbde3a36176671
209.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/30/2026, 12:13:11 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x0064c629990f6219038b5d3107784c01C614D328
Tx: 0x004a00102e87c06c28a2473035e4e6aa968d75d18ff16e96b2a01256a9362b4b