Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 5:10:00 P.M. to 10/29/2026, 5:11:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
6% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 102
Unexplained QUAI: 1,635.49
Explained QI: 2.48
Unexplained QI: 297.52
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 99% of explained volume
Relative context
1.9x above local average
0.3x previous minute
17x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
23
Observable rows
3
13.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
45
Asset volume
1,737.49 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 1737 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 • 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211.
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 -> 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 5:10:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (94% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (6%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
Net sender
Unknown type
102 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Net receiver
Unknown type
102 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.48 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.48 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05 → 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
2 repeated flows • 102 QUAI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
23 tx
1,737.49 QUAI • 45 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:10:18 P.M.
-1 min
Best candidate53 tx
5,064.59 QUAI • 56 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:09:13 P.M.
+1 min
2 tx
102 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:11:22 P.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:08:08 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
205 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:12:27 P.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:07:04 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:06:00 P.M.
+4 min
3 tx
24.02 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 5:13:31 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
101 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 5:10:52 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
101 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 5:10:52 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x003800446ba4ba3bc116e2f378c20d682e1c839855827a1455112e2bcf80b5ba
1 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 5:10:20 P.M.
From: 0x002999c4154ec09FdeBab507F8a3e42618f7dB05
To: 0x002a0AC96b01A542721BE67028014F51f48ca211
Tx: 0x00700036189db5b45bf2f5b341322ae7ee1048c5454934c15c1051eca820b38b
2.48 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 5:10:07 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001d0081d82368c3c43ba8ad8968fb0d29c4b4d5df8468d8e0783bacdb659ad8