Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 4:15:00 P.M. to 10/29/2026, 4:16:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 455.26
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 45% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
455.26 QUAI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 455 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 4:15:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
423.24 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
Net sender
Unknown type
203.87 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
117.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
101.49 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
Net sender
Unknown type
32.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 423.24 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
1 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:14:33 P.M.
+1 min
4 tx
455.26 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:15:37 P.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:13:29 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:16:41 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:12:25 P.M.
+3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:17:46 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate22 tx
20,419.63 QUAI • 43 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:11:21 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:18:50 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
203.87 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:15:12 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
203.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:15:12 P.M.
From: 0x002937281b637079c3ec22344067C33Cb4912A68
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00410058047acaecb1168e40c520241b89a32df10050c35e983cb9f8847e93d0
101.49 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:15:12 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001b00289b8662793e063b4793f8a14b1bc1824438cfbacd1ff272a7047f076d
117.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:15:12 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006b0005d49c284b3540a10572fc4d0cf676237105d28c888773cfe41686acba
32.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:15:12 P.M.
From: 0x000045f0BdA529d8D3633f370b0DFB06096A5492
To: 0x002478faaef7C88154720e57484A9E800D62d650
Tx: 0x007d0063fa0e87b552dfe761f6a397aea83afe3049b1125bade4377f4e87dcd9