Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 3:27:00 P.M. to 10/29/2026, 3:28:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
44% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,876.03
Unexplained QUAI: 7,418.21
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.49
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 13% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.2x previous minute
3.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
17
Observable rows
8
47.1% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
26
Asset volume
13,294.24 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 13294 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987 • 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 3:27:00 P.M.
Coverage gap high (56% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (44%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
Gate.io hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
5,876.03 QUAI across 8 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
Net sender
Unknown type
754.17 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Net sender
Unknown type
745.01 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
Net sender
Unknown type
744.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00630C5D2a99D3F07d5f78527fA928fa504a1157
Net sender
Unknown type
737.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 5,876.03 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
17 tx
13,294.24 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:27:25 P.M.
-1 min
12 tx
10,990.23 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:26:21 P.M.
-2 min
19 tx
25,727.06 QUAI • 39 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:25:16 P.M.
+2 min
5 tx
3,687.83 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:28:30 P.M.
-3 min
16 tx
38,466.63 QUAI • 36 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:24:10 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:29:34 P.M.
-4 min
Best candidate32 tx
343,922.77 QUAI • 51 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:23:04 P.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:30:38 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
754.17 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
733.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
From: 0x00005975e28e8f4E987795d73847956966e59FE3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00390035b867a33e6c4d097fdfc0fc29bb82918fbdfcaba562d9a53419cc34d2
724.4 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
From: 0x000d3A66c0f0faBA1D5D5EdDb3BC175E4dF4d7FC
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006500571b809eedaf462af2a182d9578d1f63f1835f2107132358ecd938a7f6
730.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
From: 0x0034F71E0b2B37467BEc63dfE5ae1F5065c297C3
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c00121842c5c99d9f10f7e2f87cda00575f6b2c01923345ab56d33b654ae5
754.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
From: 0x002021065F44b38c625dc20E63829C1c8c6d469A
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b002734af55a66b8979eb1b57879cddeb51397fe54fe68aab672b12d0baa4
745.01 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:37 P.M.
From: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x0021006601ebcadfa3ecfa44d420d60c83f848180d865ac3d1862f522e503735
737.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
From: 0x00630C5D2a99D3F07d5f78527fA928fa504a1157
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00720000867a8d67f0b641e5786b07a5c2122b99f9bbeb273db0b54d5d0d8cfa
744.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
From: 0x004BD4dce98C04Fd1C833eA22b47BCEe73a1bd3D
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x006c007d6a72833ba7bb8fe5c4bcda341f695200c37a0d1a81a70a13989a2799
706.06 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:27:06 P.M.
From: 0x005458593BD0541c874B7abE00180141EA4D52d9
To: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
Tx: 0x00540051aa19c47dd185845d6e857337a350fab94cd6e30056c5149d0525e217