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Spike bucket

10/29/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/29/2026, 12:23:00 P.M. to 10/29/2026, 12:24:00 P.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

4% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 1,996

Unexplained QUAI: 49,266.99

Explained QI: 800

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

1.0x above local average

26x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

51,262.99 QUAI

800 QI

Avg confidence

90.5%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0051EFd84A2A3C232277D27622796AB421B454b5.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 51263 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 50

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0051EFd84A2A3C232277D27622796AB421B454b5.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00b07ac6Ec397f86Ba6B79d92bA6548fE5120d1e (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 10/29/2026, 12:23:00 P.M.

Coverage gap high (96% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (4%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).

What to do next

Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.

Top actors in this event

MEXC hot wallet

Net sender

Exchange

1,996 QUAI across 1 visible row

Known watch context

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0051EFd84A2A3C232277D27622796AB421B454b5

Net receiver

Unknown type

1,996 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

800 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00b07ac6Ec397f86Ba6B79d92bA6548fE5120d1e

Net receiver

Unknown type

800 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA

Net sender

Unknown type

2.39 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00b07ac6Ec397f86Ba6B79d92bA6548fE5120d1e

2 repeated flows • 800 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 1,996 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 8. The remaining 4 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.