Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 12:16:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 12:16:00 P.M. to 10/29/2026, 12:17:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Large spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 115,268.77
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 48% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
13
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
29
Asset volume
115,268.77 QUAI
2300 QI
Avg confidence
82.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 115269 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 66
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c (5 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 12:16:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 13 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
110,727.22 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
Net receiver
Unknown type
55,366.97 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
55,360.25 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
4,121.55 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
Net sender
Unknown type
3,906.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
5 repeated flows • 2000 QI
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 4,121.55 QUAI
From exchange: 55,360.25 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 10 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:15:52 P.M.
-1 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:14:48 P.M.
+1 min
Best candidate13 tx
115,268.77 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:16:56 P.M.
-2 min
6 tx
4,116.73 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:13:43 P.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:18:00 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:12:39 P.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:19:04 P.M.
-4 min
6 tx
5.35 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 12:11:34 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
55,366.97 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:51 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
All transfers in this selected minute
13 transactions
55,366.97 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:51 P.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
Tx: 0x005500605dcaa75fc6b6d81879eae126e26f4dcb6b5926ae995077138b387be7
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:51 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
Tx: 0x004d0002f1cf0ff9facbe03af6e5eda3a5e260c11d1f9e89d41b7826dcb4b8ce
2.39 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x006800f4fc3812fb5ac050cc2b4d1ca925d965083552b186ee9f6402fd765afc
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
Tx: 0x003700b53afb6006419fd1471bc6f8ded85c27ee92c118df0c30abc9bd9e49d3
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:41 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
Tx: 0x006200b885f3257c0214ff7e8649838e598728b06ea2c61f84ef0a45049215dd
55,360.25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x006100528e3e57ba7ce93b932ac3410a5b1ac9a9f4bd51ce3ecb5da3ffe6cfc2
3,906.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x0004e31f55d13e714cE808D20608a8545344D19F
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00130047508c2b83ed687739e57a7a87f26ce54ef17e5703050463a88c38f331
110.87 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003900531c1aca9a1b2eefad32c89e8921ca512194e3a3efa21c19b35f2c0819
104.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x005c0055fc55540f1e75efbc65107dc8174a8f6fbcf77ddf11a403abe09e606e
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
Tx: 0x004b0051d517e41b72b55cdee59a68445238d182138f87b695b6a9d510b997ed
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00836B3F377387c4960e04e32c94f5bE04F90C8c
Tx: 0x0035007ca774d98838c3056f4a02ecb314f018be94b843786bc62912c22127e3
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x0060006e39a475f021bd1433f2ac6bf681d14d3811394a0d330095111e4d374b
420 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 12:16:17 P.M.
From: 0x0035a37AB19C9660257d262cA45C5d0aA0410cEb
To: 0x0058727ec66789BB11B3D37AA271e1AAF67144ac
Tx: 0x003a000503f5572b60c0b8898d14c0296d9178939de9d88df8bb3e2480c5a346