Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 11:53:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:54:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
1% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 24.02
Unexplained QUAI: 1,993.62
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 88% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
84x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
2,017.63 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x009a1904832bf3bae2327Cb341fb8EF5449539e4.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 2018 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x009a1904832bf3bae2327Cb341fb8EF5449539e4.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 11:53:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (99% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x009a1904832bf3bae2327Cb341fb8EF5449539e4
Net receiver
Unknown type
400 QI across 1 visible row
0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
Net sender
Unknown type
24.02 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0011ECF06b01277b70E92129b1a6F490075c94fa
Net receiver
Unknown type
21.22 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00A24Ad2Efc0368b45443062c22Df8b178D4dF8A
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.07 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
2,017.63 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:53:20 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:52:16 A.M.
+1 min
4 tx
24.02 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:54:24 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:51:12 A.M.
+2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:55:28 A.M.
-3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:50:06 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:49:02 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate4 tx
10,000 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:56:33 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:53:57 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x009a1904832bf3bae2327Cb341fb8EF5449539e4
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x009a1904832bf3bae2327Cb341fb8EF5449539e4
Tx: 0x0017003e3773972cc303a49d8bdd63a0f038c10f64f9a526ff6a557bcad165c4
21.22 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:53:57 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0011ECF06b01277b70E92129b1a6F490075c94fa
Tx: 0x002c0034e662a80c12b1f151cbfe1698588088ca707b7daf546b13ca2b06308a
3.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:53:42 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00A24Ad2Efc0368b45443062c22Df8b178D4dF8A
Tx: 0x001100b4e8f397e9f487606f50325911ec5a8573c1488502d64c2115573591c7
2.79 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:53:26 A.M.
From: 0x00787d7742336F109f0e07b26E7E8d47b462Ac4b
To: 0x0076dD9a2152771A4a74F8B983dE3039539916f0
Tx: 0x0007001fb811751680e9a88b1a9cc67a763692a162a5c90b4418f3b7639d6f89