Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:48:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,996.15
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 1900
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 85% of explained volume
Relative context
1.3x above local average
0.4x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
8
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
25
Asset volume
3,996.15 QUAI
1900 QI
Avg confidence
90.5%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 3996 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba • 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 2 repeated counterpart flows
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: no major confidence limiter detected in current sample
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
Net sender
Unknown type
3,416 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Net receiver
Unknown type
3,416 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,603.03 QI across 5 visible rows
0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,200 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00578d594e38268028E58825f5CaA11BFe3E45F6
Net sender
Unknown type
580.15 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38
3 repeated flows • 1200 QI
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:46:51 A.M.
-1 min
Best candidate12 tx
10,075.5 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:45:47 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,996.15 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:47:55 A.M.
-2 min
5 tx
6,767.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:44:43 A.M.
+2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:49:02 A.M.
-3 min
7 tx
2,863.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:43:39 A.M.
+3 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:50:06 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:42:35 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3,416 QUAI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
QUAI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:50 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005b006ba8739fc98dbb55c4c99e123def081eb73a2e5ad3cbf1c50678870e23
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:50 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38
Tx: 0x007c003c9574bb08829656cf469bf0711d09bb162c6932eaaf29c681a8e3f173
3.03 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:20 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
Tx: 0x001800afb5827750abd72af31fea6ac75a4d013128b842ddbcad54e1b132d794
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:20 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38
Tx: 0x001300fec36aea74497dce0654379faa4b375bc06ede627f9c4888f551d73231
580.15 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
From: 0x00578d594e38268028E58825f5CaA11BFe3E45F6
To: 0x0075B7f9F9B07c9cB9797926399F7298Edf5E182
Tx: 0x00630078e4ee5e023b665e112daad50d79195cf7db24e968b787acd3428da385
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
Tx: 0x001100604b36af896e9ff325674b21e05e2201ae4187d53633269bc5c98e2666
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2530A3b5a90698858643C0C04043dd50f5d38
Tx: 0x0074004dcaa62037411000e19884f461ec06e07f387a00274eeb95b542f03ba1
3,416 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:47:00 A.M.
From: 0x001C0526c0E06D355eFfaDAe52952598852753ba
To: 0x000d6795e06eA4F460CA9572a51741342156305A
Tx: 0x0000002dd584526b0cfc38c6893fbf6960e22c479e8c1859338b0b6d1ab11a16
