Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 11:45:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:46:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
0% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1.34
Unexplained QUAI: 10,074.16
Explained QI: 3.03
Unexplained QI: 796.97
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.3x above local average
3.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
2
16.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
32
Asset volume
10,075.5 QUAI
800 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 10076 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 11:45:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (100% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (0%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
3.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.03 QI across 1 visible row
0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
Net sender
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Net receiver
Unknown type
1.34 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
5 tx
6,767.02 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:44:43 A.M.
-1 min
7 tx
2,863.09 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:43:39 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
10,075.5 QUAI • 32 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:45:47 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:42:35 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:46:51 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate7 tx
11,882.65 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:41:31 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
3,996.15 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:47:55 A.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:49:02 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
3.03 QI
Derived whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:45:12 A.M.
QI transfer observed on Cyprus-1
Derived from the largest observable transfer in this minute because no persisted whale-alert row was found yet.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
3.03 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:45:12 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x0081F698CffC910Fe79f4EaE4e1CAc814Dec73F5
Tx: 0x001800c0dc300e03bbb4c9396105ee8e73633cec73a4578d2a910ebbd058beda
1.34 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:45:12 A.M.
From: 0x000eF1ed645F16Fb1388C764Ae4f05e35625B3A6
To: 0x003Fee31e2A8C269037d8056CA7E0b8a1cc895f9
Tx: 0x004d0045e24b87356a9ea48bf6470ec66f9544ccf3ea78d2a5e891e596f49efc