Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 11:35:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:36:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
15% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 98.02
Unexplained QUAI: 559.98
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
0.1x above local average
6.7x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
11
Asset volume
658 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 658 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 11:35:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (85% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (15%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.03 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448
Net receiver
Unknown type
403.03 QI across 2 visible rows
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
98.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x004BdEEC7c2803EC58eDab4b13d33C8E7d004268
Net receiver
Unknown type
98.02 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 98.02 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
3 tx
658 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:35:05 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:34:01 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
98.02 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:36:09 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:32:57 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
1.34 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:37:14 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:31:53 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate3 tx
35,185.3 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:38:17 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 12 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:30:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:35:16 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
3.03 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:35:16 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448
Tx: 0x006e00d8688c1f4a48866450365bb807fc0d1a711372eaa9e2a30c176f8ca770
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:35:16 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a2439CCed1e36f8b9941783Ea356cc178D5448
Tx: 0x0014008f1cfb7efafa7baec739e0b2491008040767f0e8c589490396673ce391
98.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 11:35:16 A.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x004BdEEC7c2803EC58eDab4b13d33C8E7d004268
Tx: 0x002a007f600cd1354d0cf3aedf116f5c5cee01a402293aef940f3d931a032e44