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Spike bucket

10/29/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/29/2026, 11:12:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:13:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

1% coverage

Whale-driven spike detected

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 30.03

Unexplained QUAI: 2,129.42

Explained QI: 800

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Whale-driven spike

Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume

Relative context

4.8x above local average

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.

A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

Observable rows

13.8% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

Asset volume

2,159.45 QUAI

800 QI

Avg confidence

90.5%

Dominant source: address-path-single

Event intelligence

high priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0087dCA71A485cEF8d5ECC5FA9d08F023a7B6646.

Dominant behavior: whale rotation

whale_rotation + low confidence + 2159 QUAI

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Importance score: 45

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x0087dCA71A485cEF8d5ECC5FA9d08F023a7B6646.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x0087dCA71A485cEF8d5ECC5FA9d08F023a7B6646 (2 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source address-path-single

Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 10/29/2026, 11:12:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (99% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (1%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

803.06 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0087dCA71A485cEF8d5ECC5FA9d08F023a7B6646

Net receiver

Unknown type

800 QI across 2 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005BcE3cc1ceCD870bE5a2fcB6dEc9674FD95c79

Net sender

Unknown type

30.03 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0012fE99c6dE55353F373e1276b27a19d8A0b907

Net receiver

Unknown type

30.03 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00FeeafE6f62275F6a1B88fB5aAa37F7ed3227C3

Net receiver

Unknown type

3.06 QI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x0087dCA71A485cEF8d5ECC5FA9d08F023a7B6646

2 repeated flows • 800 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

Inspect nearby minutes

Jump around the selected bucket quickly when the exact minute is sparse, delayed, or mostly aggregated.

-15 min -5 min -1 min +1 min +5 min +15 min Raw alerts API

4 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 29. The remaining 25 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.