Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 10:59:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 11:00:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 43,733.28
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 50% of explained volume
Relative context
4.0x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
4
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
18
Asset volume
21,863.28 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 21863 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9 • 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00a9997E625308eF48D6034D1587Be4303664ebF (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 10:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Balanced
Unknown type
43,733.28 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
Net receiver
Unknown type
21,870 QUAI across 1 visible row
Gate.io hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
21,863.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00a9997E625308eF48D6034D1587Be4303664ebF
Net receiver
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00a9997E625308eF48D6034D1587Be4303664ebF
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 21,863.28 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
6 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 10:58:39 A.M.
-1 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 10:57:34 A.M.
+1 min
3 tx
21,863.28 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 10:59:43 A.M.
-2 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/29/2026, 10:56:30 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate2 tx
21,870 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:00:47 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:01:51 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 10:55:26 A.M.
+4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 11:02:55 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
21,870 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 10:59:48 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
21,870 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 10:59:48 A.M.
From: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
To: 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
Tx: 0x007d003e2c8e379d501128262c7cf1df81ce1599f7b6a10d7d405f74c58beca4
3.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 10:59:35 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a9997E625308eF48D6034D1587Be4303664ebF
Tx: 0x0006008500f60415b76e3c20d404eb95508dce1031a753e2fb84d7c3de61e1d4
21,863.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 10:59:26 A.M.
From: Gate.io hot wallet
0x007e2F1a4709B812F339f22E18032118FBcc8987
Exchange
To: 0x0015B05A96FBB22f78233d53d270ed61a5Cb55B9
Tx: 0x003e00578fa75c519ddcca37e86517a1133a5855e29e70790b5965e620faf394
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 10:59:05 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a9997E625308eF48D6034D1587Be4303664ebF
Tx: 0x00230058b61d2f29660704bcfc20c737fc2ae91ddd266cfe0fa290e7f07ea6f9