Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 4:33:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 4:33:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 4:34:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,278.26
Unexplained QUAI: 37,154.62
Explained QI: 0
Unexplained QI: 2.4
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 82% of explained volume
Relative context
7.7x above local average
1.0x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
38,432.88 QUAI
2.4 QI
Avg confidence
62.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 38433 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 50
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1 • 0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 4:33:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is miner pool (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize miner distribution/accumulation checks before mixed-flow hypotheses.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate miner pool context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies miner pool context.
Top actors in this event
K1 Mining pool
Net sender
Miner pool
1,278.26 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,052.89 QUAI across 1 visible row
StratumX miner
Net receiver
Miner wallet
225.37 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
1,090.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:32:31 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
38,432.88 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:33:37 A.M.
-2 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:31:27 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:34:41 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
600 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:30:23 A.M.
+3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:35:45 A.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:29:20 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:36:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,052.89 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:33:04 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
1,052.89 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:33:04 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: 0x00383f55ba818e4770c4BdC58904772bEEbFa321
Tx: 0x004d0048f1bcd972824c9af26f4db38e702ba95159989580ccc5221b1295e106
225.37 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:33:04 A.M.
From: K1 Mining pool
0x0022646d0cbf8456E6f9f5a5dD6BBB9754ed30f1
Miner pool
To: StratumX miner
0x004894e7C041BaC2a4575241c0Ec96DDd37866e0
Miner wallet
Tx: 0x0036004fc372d1562ab875806917b5bd703edfc7b6d1fa8f5ed5050f8500ed5d
