Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 4:22:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 4:22:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 4:23:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
59% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 75.72
Unexplained QUAI: 53.23
Explained QI: 1100
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 34% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
2.5x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
7
58.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
27
Asset volume
128.95 QUAI
1100 QI
Avg confidence
83.7%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 129 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Partial source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 4:22:00 A.M.
Coverage gap moderate (41% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (59%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
803.03 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
Net receiver
Unknown type
803.03 QI across 3 visible rows
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
300 QI across 1 visible row
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net sender
Unknown type
75.72 QUAI across 3 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
3 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:21:52 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
51.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:20:48 A.M.
+1 min
12 tx
128.95 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:22:57 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:19:43 A.M.
+2 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:24:01 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate4 tx
2,411.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:18:38 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
52.4 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:25:04 A.M.
-4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:17:34 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
400 QI
Whale alertAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:29 A.M.
QI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:48 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00650012686ffc60d29eab88871c1824500902868d0824e4df8b864879f27c09
3.03 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:29 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
Tx: 0x002500a8273d274f22e160622dad0aa9a3daeb6667b37fb3cc9563af219115ed
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:29 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
Tx: 0x0066008d09d2ee41ec02574d7431fc2e4e12cf40bab6a1cc11c035c9d84a04ed
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:14 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x007D1E2AB4Dacc07aFE3c3ebff36a1eB11eeCDe6
Tx: 0x0036005e9dc0c17ccd9facee98921b5a93d353797103bdc69c791ad6bc967a67
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:11 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00983EF823F881993c9d3c1dc4CDa4Eea8a59288
Tx: 0x005c00298e36e874c93d42659d43eb8e19816f857158de351853ef29d194981e
25.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:11 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x00273EE0105FC565fB770fc5e9337dF4FD6a8046
Tx: 0x0044000fed4504552c4905b93242b90df7135145d2ec20590f94c447403180ce
25 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:22:11 A.M.
From: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
To: 0x00221B2C342188aCE7CC2fD7B194caE11DC8df7C
Tx: 0x00680031b16a30b0e458d897b9421223eb191b114e7882d04371d4a3cb3b296f
