Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 4:18:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 4:19:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
25% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 595.73
Unexplained QUAI: 1,815.8
Explained QI: 3.06
Unexplained QI: 396.94
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
7.8x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
2
50.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
2,411.53 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0026a4b3f0E8b1E97a1a67C08CdF7259d995419f • 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2412 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0026a4b3f0E8b1E97a1a67C08CdF7259d995419f • 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 4:18:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (75% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 2 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (25%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0026a4b3f0E8b1E97a1a67C08CdF7259d995419f
Net sender
Unknown type
595.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Net receiver
Unknown type
595.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
3.06 QI across 1 visible row
0x00E8b674c45BEb95b7F194439C9f4BFDb024d627
Net receiver
Unknown type
3.06 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
2 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:17:34 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:16:30 A.M.
+1 min
Best candidate4 tx
2,411.53 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:18:38 A.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:19:43 A.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:15:26 A.M.
+3 min
10 tx
51.33 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:20:48 A.M.
-4 min
3 tx
0 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:14:22 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 4:21:52 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
595.73 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:18:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0026a4b3f0E8b1E97a1a67C08CdF7259d995419f
To: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
All transfers in this selected minute
2 transactions
595.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:18:09 A.M.
From: 0x0026a4b3f0E8b1E97a1a67C08CdF7259d995419f
To: 0x002e596a173EE491E415b0844155CeE0dC5A6743
Tx: 0x0011004a8ac5d9d20be88689447701cd0e4eff9061db279dad3e0227a6ada32b
3.06 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 4:18:01 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00E8b674c45BEb95b7F194439C9f4BFDb024d627
Tx: 0x001d00b9e065e0e1b1c55359e72beea7bd7e4d6fcada54c7287e4d03f1869cf3