Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 3:40:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 3:41:00 A.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
22% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,039.68
Unexplained QUAI: 10,804.58
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 52% of explained volume
Relative context
0.9x above local average
0.9x previous minute
4.6x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
4
Observable rows
5
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
13,844.26 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
69.6%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 13844 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 3:40:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (78% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 5 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (22%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,105.48 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,578.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
934.19 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Net receiver
Unknown type
690.5 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Net receiver
Unknown type
527.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
13,844.26 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:40:07 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
15,778.06 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:39:02 A.M.
+1 min
5 tx
3,039.68 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:41:12 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
4,228.28 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:37:58 A.M.
+2 min
Best candidate7 tx
51,822.93 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:42:17 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
11,524.52 QUAI • 27 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:36:52 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
2,145.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:43:22 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
16,417.65 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:35:47 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,578.2 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:09 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
All transfers in this selected minute
5 transactions
527.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0047D5cE91355923c0516c4a96E19Ca45f0f6563
Tx: 0x00620047bf40ec232d8748ad1eedd88cb4112efb478d606ff5740c682efb360a
690.5 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003859c9897692e779199E4D221bD9C9bEE90702
Tx: 0x0002005c6fda44759cadab14b0c04fc78939308e125ef9ae6b029d996baf8bd1
243.7 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:09 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x003835340Da62C918332E647508144EFb394e4c1
Tx: 0x001a006592c7f2587993dd3c12fd38f9ec7b282fc8c51a5b52d5838443e7545f
1,578.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:09 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x004688d9FFD52204cE4c1A59895B0894BD0eACcD
Tx: 0x007d000c26a66e215d52e0747018b3af4118dba18c6c1f618c702b6e80941f5d
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:40:09 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008007fB0895f3481dB07ce301959B2dA0de1b2D
Tx: 0x0044002f63d18423b88849b7a639dc22d9b440d929abf38280f3329c275916b7