Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 3:31:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 3:31:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 3:32:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 784.69
Unexplained QUAI: 1,269.81
Explained QI: 3.04
Unexplained QI: 396.96
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 81% of explained volume
Relative context
0.4x above local average
0.3x previous minute
1.4x next minute
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
A single transfer leads the visible activity, but some of the bucket remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
7
Observable rows
3
42.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
2,054.5 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + low confidence + 2055 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 3:31:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
632.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Net receiver
Unknown type
632.73 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
151.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Net receiver
Unknown type
151.96 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
3.04 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
7 tx
2,054.5 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:31:28 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
8,148.47 QUAI • 26 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:30:23 A.M.
-2 min
6 tx
4,879.47 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:29:19 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
1,465.36 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:32:32 A.M.
-3 min
8 tx
7,564.66 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:28:13 A.M.
+3 min
8 tx
5,936.74 QUAI • 24 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:33:37 A.M.
-4 min
11 tx
7,711.51 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:27:08 A.M.
+4 min
Best candidate6 tx
8,358.12 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:34:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
632.73 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:31:15 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
632.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x003C4b509ce7beBB39a2A6Dd588902528956d087
Tx: 0x00780076f4178799982eb3e92bf8819152aa427701a97bf5626dcd05911dac3f
151.96 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:31:15 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x002ec84eaF6Af705072F5E89e2C20f22c94EaB13
Tx: 0x004300163f198b036d4534b7777624ff806b4a655213de98956755743cac40a5
3.04 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:31:03 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00aEDA6e0eCAdE7d09C1fb60C79C76C412B9cc2F
Tx: 0x001c00c7619a817b3e38869a66076dc6578cc6157b266beefcc21c026b136612