Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 3:04:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 3:05:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
38% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,546.07
Unexplained QUAI: 2,552.34
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 36% of explained volume
Relative context
0.8x above local average
1.8x previous minute
5.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
13
Observable rows
9
69.2% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
30
Asset volume
4,098.4 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007ecD971256A95994417c14F44aEf41d85bCD96.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4098 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x007ecD971256A95994417c14F44aEf41d85bCD96.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 3:04:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (62% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (38%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,006.16 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x007ecD971256A95994417c14F44aEf41d85bCD96
Net receiver
Unknown type
562.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
479.36 QUAI across 3 visible rows
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Net receiver
Unknown type
403.07 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
4,098.4 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:04:27 A.M.
-1 min
5 tx
2,231.11 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:03:21 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
3,914.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:02:17 A.M.
+2 min
5 tx
772.19 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:05:31 A.M.
-3 min
Best candidate14 tx
10,147.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:01:12 A.M.
+3 min
14 tx
7,786.34 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:06:35 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
5,030.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:00:08 A.M.
+4 min
12 tx
6,309.46 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:07:41 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
562.28 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007ecD971256A95994417c14F44aEf41d85bCD96
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
562.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007ecD971256A95994417c14F44aEf41d85bCD96
Tx: 0x002100529c8862fc1d3c00866734c37d54ae62ac9ce8429d4c67363372691d9e
149.36 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0072C65c20d0b568943788B5796FBd6d08A1b127
Tx: 0x005e001c44855295134ad3118aaf5805b3f4232bf2ba612714234b617cd26f07
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x003a0076c8557b150f0111fb49080d55e56ece16374175fcc24dd1b7cd100513
60.55 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:43 A.M.
From: 0x0013c8B3305eBe38B0B50ab34208Dbc438Ac4dD7
To: 0x0042bA3F8f2dcF303479A465773F7578199a2b94
Tx: 0x007f001cd8dcf840f1b7bd603af21022184e957116063dfbb4b87e90c590333a
161.69 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:13 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00716eE9D7C4eF522ccd4fD5Cbc875B4F2C789B0
Tx: 0x0063000cbab77dd8f904c3b1b0f3d31bb24a81ccb0d2a18ef7462e8a80a2c59f
329.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:13 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007DeaBB2A02777AFb505F5e6039a828C5517d08
Tx: 0x005e0022ac709092bd156fcf69c0fd4571f25fd0e1d25f65081e2a92a05909eb
3.07 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:04 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x008f279d954a1A776edB2B39071d2a7e5d315798
Tx: 0x000d00cc4b404d0876b29639ed67b604249040f212bf8a0ed83512fd4cf97589
168.31 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:04 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x006e44C52e120cAe467cD7D6C7AF0f9cD328961b
Tx: 0x003a0026753491c6d7b3640cce6b7ac4d7439b0133e144d30b378aae8534324e
113.94 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 3:04:04 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x007D3dA731fe6b2b8Cc79B8d98F0A07A3956e0e2
Tx: 0x0049006937c18f3d89bc5b59b354d0cf7d16076a6ff69ee40793627bfdd2638f
