Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 2:59:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 3:00:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
92% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 5,030.12
Unexplained QUAI: 464.21
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 44% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
1.1x previous minute
1.1x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
21
Asset volume
5,494.32 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
78.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + medium confidence + 5494 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 45
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2 (3 repeated flows).
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 2:59:00 A.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
2,531.23 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
2,498.88 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Net receiver
Unknown type
2,234.75 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,966.61 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00693F74dD17D60711D996F839e2b30cCFc08600
Net receiver
Unknown type
532.28 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
3 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
8 tx
5,494.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:59:03 A.M.
-1 min
11 tx
4,794.54 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:57:58 A.M.
+1 min
7 tx
5,030.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:00:08 A.M.
-2 min
4 tx
1,098.66 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:56:53 A.M.
+2 min
14 tx
10,147.8 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:01:12 A.M.
-3 min
10 tx
5,758.31 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:55:48 A.M.
+3 min
4 tx
3,914.66 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:02:17 A.M.
-4 min
Best candidate14 tx
28,619.91 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:54:42 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
2,234.75 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:25 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
3.05 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:40 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Tx: 0x0036008911c07610ec93626899d6fb6924ded7c8f67f3561a4916bf04c05a649
3.04 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:31 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Tx: 0x00300080e876f8d3610d82b56b6e0cb2da9d06c61ae9db063a7c5b6b96913815
532.28 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00693F74dD17D60711D996F839e2b30cCFc08600
Tx: 0x002b003c15a38fd3141b83f3b81ed2d8c57a4cea7fc0eaeff7e2c7c9b605fd14
2,234.75 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0078a54E77a2557fBb06A66D410eFeAf2a99e4b8
Tx: 0x003e003138512c63cca3d1e996257e11520d7e4e9a0d94d20e0d2bce1d23ded5
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:25 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Tx: 0x006200297c25f1e1bb74e0dc2932ee8b52e46da8d34025ea72caad8c4e4c07ee
1,966.61 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:12 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0068ac4733c6Bb0a15419De644EA982a40472670
Tx: 0x0000000baca299d450956659e71d1313d65394bc0ad23a85afd25a21e1be11f5
296.48 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:59:12 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0077992AC02fe6778a53eB3360722358D53981B3
Tx: 0x004a00651f0bc48e19c263d18a94ea7ff376d91cee871ac7021594650a565cf8
