Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 2:57:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 2:58:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
41% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,954.67
Unexplained QUAI: 2,839.87
Explained QI: 1200
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 62% of explained volume
Relative context
0.7x above local average
0.8x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
11
Observable rows
8
72.7% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
31
Asset volume
4,794.54 QUAI
1200 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 4795 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 37
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2 (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source address-path-single
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 2:57:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (59% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 8 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (41%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
1,627.11 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,205.57 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
1,200 QI across 3 visible rows
0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Net receiver
Unknown type
800 QI across 2 visible rows
0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Net receiver
Unknown type
421.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
2 repeated flows • 800 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
4 tx
1,098.66 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:56:53 A.M.
-1 min
10 tx
5,758.31 QUAI • 29 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:55:48 A.M.
+1 min
11 tx
4,794.54 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:57:58 A.M.
-2 min
Best candidate14 tx
28,619.91 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:54:42 A.M.
+2 min
8 tx
5,494.32 QUAI • 21 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:59:03 A.M.
-3 min
6 tx
3,562.07 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:53:37 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
5,030.12 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 3:00:08 A.M.
-4 min
7 tx
1,527.94 QUAI • 28 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:52:32 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,205.57 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2
All transfers in this selected minute
8 transactions
2.37 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001300d99878098e6c9d3c78dd4882b7676c837434107df0ff2c9f50ad379d05
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00FA489E2D6AcD69dE47d85e8D9a155766C917fa
Tx: 0x001300ab103020863c981051e3024c2a2440852f5fe52bc1c7ad532989795edb
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Tx: 0x001900dad646838a4aca3d69523a117ea013ede83a1954e0120ef127c309c504
1,205.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0075639a98Fe9E89194b0D2DE000D5dD18e5C8f2
Tx: 0x00180043ffa76ec5258d6e24f1a8cef27eba5033ee414e09464502335b72badc
130.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:45 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00641b564408D937179203D09C1754D867Af6527
Tx: 0x005700416dada575bf3e73e1ef286c9d726ff65e64233eb207802064e9b21f1e
197.32 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:23 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x0063B7EcE01A26afda1E602cCD29B771C428b62F
Tx: 0x0023002836e49add3b74c833268556d00d38f80198f94a5ffe937b8b910e41f7
421.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:23 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0073ddd9467522F7EC4f2f32bd9C47aa5Cd4BC31
Tx: 0x002b00229998e2f55cd5ad1a176382ef48c354cb630463e36a944500cc431f4b
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:57:23 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00d7AFeF81F06FF474fa4C47BFB167701ce63dB2
Tx: 0x0005001e750d2de7456ae6c558a9b64e7ee9732b62b9a584ab06ae69d5dae01c