Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 2:37:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 2:38:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
3% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 1,289.95
Unexplained QUAI: 45,728.49
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 56% of explained volume
Relative context
3.7x above local average
3.8x previous minute
15x next minute
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by multiple visible transfers.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
28
Observable rows
4
14.3% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
46
Asset volume
47,018.44 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
81.0%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + low confidence + 47018 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 42
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752 • 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 2:37:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (97% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 4 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • observable coverage remains partial (3%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
716.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Net receiver
Unknown type
716.54 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
Net sender
Unknown type
573.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Net receiver
Unknown type
573.41 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
Net sender
Unknown type
403.02 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate28 tx
47,018.44 QUAI • 46 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:37:24 A.M.
-1 min
6 tx
12,287.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:36:19 A.M.
-2 min
8 tx
3,274.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:35:15 A.M.
+2 min
7 tx
3,228.92 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:38:30 A.M.
-3 min
12 tx
14,008.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:34:10 A.M.
+3 min
7 tx
2,577.97 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:39:34 A.M.
-4 min
18 tx
18,209.97 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:33:05 A.M.
+4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 13 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:40:38 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
716.54 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
All transfers in this selected minute
4 transactions
716.54 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x00573361C17f12af330847A6eb72dDB173bc2a30
Tx: 0x00460027cddc68be8695f522608f298268a0bc0b563b7f95ff724b21b486f2b0
573.41 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x004C38126c89669552A626cE5982B0CB27B72689
Tx: 0x002b00106447eb714e8f4c31f2da003a8b91518d6ab8e1128c4327be390998fc
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:37:47 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
Tx: 0x0040001eb8a2504ea3049a61aef15c895cd93788d44bb43b1abdcfe8156cbef5
3.02 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:37:02 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
Tx: 0x004f00b251596b10739ba1a7d6bac270b1d6202e78fc9f81767119b12b8a4b3f