Spike bucket
10/29/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/29/2026, 2:34:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 2:35:00 A.M.
Partially observable spike
low confidence
23% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 3,274.06
Unexplained QUAI: 10,734.19
Explained QI: 400
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 31% of explained volume
Relative context
1.1x above local average
0.8x previous minute
4.3x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
12
Observable rows
9
75.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
20
Asset volume
14,008.25 QUAI
400 QI
Avg confidence
70.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491 • 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + low confidence + 14008 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 27
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491 • 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd.
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence low • Source account-shape-default
Limits: confidence remains low
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Thin source coverage
Last updated: 10/29/2026, 2:34:00 A.M.
Coverage gap high (77% not covered)
Based on: 1 related signal • 9 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (23%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.
What to do next
Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
- Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.
Top actors in this event
0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
Net sender
Unknown type
1,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Net receiver
Unknown type
1,001 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
Net sender
Unknown type
879.97 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
Net sender
Unknown type
836.9 QUAI across 2 visible rows
0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Net receiver
Unknown type
647.63 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
2 repeated flows • 400 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
12 tx
14,008.25 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:34:10 A.M.
-1 min
18 tx
18,209.97 QUAI • 30 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:33:05 A.M.
+1 min
8 tx
3,274.06 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:35:15 A.M.
-2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:31:59 A.M.
+2 min
6 tx
12,287.43 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:36:19 A.M.
-3 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:30:54 A.M.
+3 min
Best candidate28 tx
47,018.44 QUAI • 46 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:37:24 A.M.
-4 min
47 tx
7,012.15 QUAI • 63 addresses
10/29/2026, 2:29:49 A.M.
Biggest whale alert
1,001 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:21 A.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
All transfers in this selected minute
9 transactions
418.73 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0051B5cDcf4f8e98c8D7BE45548C2Ca93f57a611
Tx: 0x003a001968eb34960e1b6c4590c8e09096123d482daf69174cc2c7544583fc64
189.27 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x0070bf09F47467A0D0Fe3052D9D56009dA17eB50
Tx: 0x0002000c91041fef6d86425ccbc50b6ebbcc74b9f1a04af7fd2ac59004d3d2ad
261.17 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00497bB7e32f778C15BBE53a9eA8Fe043698ac5B
Tx: 0x0005006ef703a26e205d4ce570f4dd73a6f4566d46b16e191d05e3a2cf4bf13d
400 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:47 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
Tx: 0x003d002c111b6f45df090a2012884e46d1f8f3d472d83cae4ac3f2db905c0967
295.02 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:21 A.M.
From: 0x00796637A22A9f4Eca22DB25aE3e170b07A7aA6F
To: 0x00494a51ac0158d95ce12015E237710ba5fEA6dC
Tx: 0x004100213da8f4b2afd27e88900a2dfab77156aef3ea43d7a88315e7dd20167d
647.63 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:21 A.M.
From: 0x00235d703F9B0FB13Ceeacb7e9102933f2BbB07D
To: 0x006f8ad5513be8BCDAcD85d3c2560CC8FE348912
Tx: 0x0031001539168f7e2589975185e3a2cd345778e8b39e9cc61d1c3df98553b3d8
461.23 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceWhale to whale
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:21 A.M.
From: 0x0033A4774088d0389D6068d4de12DCB0a7103752
To: 0x0050Ff8707d45877456aB8F793B481CA663667e2
Tx: 0x000a000927fd769a27f3c03d527209b6a840f0d89f969a09b1adf000d74b34fd
1,001 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:21 A.M.
From: 0x000Bd4a1F1184E4ad0e656f6db0Fc37916780491
To: 0x00531F38259D2a7A0CAdeae07965b12E047B27Cd
Tx: 0x007f0050bf4e4a06a317cd651d6ab8678f63161b6405698503520d1565c3b9bd
3.01 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/29/2026, 2:34:02 A.M.
From: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da
To: 0x00a30134D5caEDC089Ac268bE1ce7e6e34a0c09c
Tx: 0x004200898547c6608df2ef42da8ac31e4cf98a19675323b35e8f59265b6a16a9