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Spike bucket

10/29/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.

Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.

Window: 10/29/2026, 2:04:00 A.M. to 10/29/2026, 2:05:00 A.M.

Partially observable spike

low confidence

19% coverage

Coverage

Explained QUAI: 57.26

Unexplained QUAI: 240

Explained QI: 400

Unexplained QI: 0

Facts

Pattern: Distributed activity

Dominant transfer: 4% of explained volume

Relative context

0.9x above local average

1.3x previous minute

1.0x next minute

Interpretation

This spike is partially explained by distributed visible activity.

The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.

Shard

Cyprus-1

Bucket tx

116

Observable rows

25.9% of bucket activity rendered as rows

Unique addresses

130

Asset volume

297.26 QUAI

400 QI

Avg confidence

65.8%

Dominant source: account-shape-default

Event intelligence

medium priority

What happened

Top actor concentration: 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00FbA70f702F9DB443B343921Dea9b3ff134BECd.

Dominant behavior: mixed flow

mixed_flow + low confidence + 297 QUAI

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Importance score: 27

Why this spike matters now

Top actor concentration around 0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da • 0x00FbA70f702F9DB443B343921Dea9b3ff134BECd.

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da -> 0x00FbA70f702F9DB443B343921Dea9b3ff134BECd (3 repeated flows).

Confidence context: low • Source context: account-shape-default

Evidence & confidence

Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available

Based on: 1 related signal • 30 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow

Confidence low • Source account-shape-default

Limits: confidence remains low

Data provenance & freshness

Source health: limited • High freshness drift

Stale context window • Thin source coverage

Last updated: 10/29/2026, 2:04:00 A.M.

Coverage gap high (81% not covered)

Based on: 1 related signal • 30 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window

Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.

Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.

Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • source coverage is thin; unseen counterpart activity may be missing • observable coverage remains partial (19%) • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window

Why now

Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Actor type hint is unknown with limited confidence; keep validation broad.

What to do next

Run a broad transfer-path check before actor-specific assumptions.

What to verify

Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
Re-check identity hints before narrowing the scope.
Identity hint: Insufficient reliable identity signals; classification kept conservative.

Top actors in this event

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da

Net sender

Unknown type

406.1 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x00FbA70f702F9DB443B343921Dea9b3ff134BECd

Net receiver

Unknown type

406.1 QI across 3 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x001D6024eadCc759ec8d61E5411918E336A24519

Net receiver

Unknown type

57.26 QUAI across 27 visible rows

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x005f348B4fa4B6a46BfDc5b120dAB6255777c813

Net sender

Unknown type

2.25 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

0x0060f36D65D2fc10e1d6384942a3be39389EcbDF

Net sender

Unknown type

2.22 QUAI across 1 visible row

Actor intelligence Wallet profile

Relationship intelligence

Repeated flow pairs

0x000414c2062B85154030c940040FA25DfED075Da → 0x00FbA70f702F9DB443B343921Dea9b3ff134BECd

3 repeated flows • 400 QI

Type concentration

To exchange: 0 QUAI

From exchange: 0 QUAI

Whale to whale: 0 QUAI

Alert context Signal feed

Evidence checks

Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.

Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
Review latest signal or spike before changing status.

Autonomous outcome

Read-only canonical source

Cyprus-1 spike

This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.

Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.

View investigations

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30 observable transfers were found for this minute, but the bucket total is 116. The remaining 86 entries are chain transactions that were not stored as displayable transfer rows in the current dataset, typically because they are non-value, self, contract/system, or otherwise non-observable transfer activity.