Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 11:53:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 11:54:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 29,997.63
Unexplained QUAI: 1.41
Explained QI: 2.49
Unexplained QI: 297.52
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 67% of explained volume
Relative context
3.9x above local average
88x previous minute
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
One transfer stands out, but supporting activity also contributes materially.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
3
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
14
Asset volume
29,999.04 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
74.7%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 29999 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 60
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 11:53:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
29,997.63 QUAI across 2 visible rows
Known watch context
0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
Net sender
Unknown type
19,998.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
Net sender
Unknown type
9,999.3 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
2.49 QI across 1 visible row
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
2.49 QI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 29,997.63 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate3 tx
29,999.04 QUAI • 14 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:53:16 P.M.
-1 min
21 tx
341.34 QUAI • 35 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:52:11 P.M.
+1 min
3 tx
29,997.63 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:54:20 P.M.
-2 min
41 tx
1,837.25 QUAI • 56 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:51:04 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:55:24 P.M.
-3 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 2 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:49:59 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:56:27 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 17 addresses
10/28/2026, 11:48:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
19,998.33 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:53:33 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
19,998.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:53:33 P.M.
From: 0x0040Fe2BDBb75B322BBF1E00D3Ec4548AF80a3Ab
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x000b00761b3e89d02803bdd0ff7550717e475f34cc5d9f732c53d1a80e2e045d
9,999.3 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:53:33 P.M.
From: 0x002ABEb30946Bc1e0561efd779D4039CB85895BE
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00700064900052f5eb90aa265c2e3a0129a9cc9a02aa2e011c20016de2375625
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 11:53:19 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000100c6e9f053b1e15f1ea46c76ed3528a5bb9d9b8a85db348b6803befceb49