Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 9:34:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 9:35:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
Whale-driven spike detected
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 10,076.44
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 300
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Whale-driven spike
Dominant transfer: 100% of explained volume
Relative context
2.7x above local average
Largest nearby bucket
Interpretation
Most of this spike is explained by one dominant transfer.
Visible rows account for most of the bucket with a clear leading transfer.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
2
Observable rows
3
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
15
Asset volume
10,076.44 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
87.3%
Dominant source: address-path-single
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0021D5682D979Bc2819664b52eed165D22c59c1C.
Dominant behavior: whale rotation
whale_rotation + high confidence + 10076 QUAI
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Importance score: 63
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x0021D5682D979Bc2819664b52eed165D22c59c1C.
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA -> 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB (2 repeated flows).
Confidence context: high • Source context: address-path-single
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 visible transfer rows • 1 repeated counterpart flow
Confidence high • Source address-path-single
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 9:34:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 3 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: address-path-single • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (whale rotation).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net sender
Exchange
10,076.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
Known watch context
0x0021D5682D979Bc2819664b52eed165D22c59c1C
Net receiver
Unknown type
10,076.44 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
Net sender
Unknown type
302.5 QI across 2 visible rows
0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Net receiver
Unknown type
302.5 QI across 2 visible rows
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA → 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
2 repeated flows • 300 QI
Type concentration
To exchange: 0 QUAI
From exchange: 10,076.44 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm whale rotation still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
Large flow appears concentrated across whale-linked actors, suggesting coordinated reallocation.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
Best candidate2 tx
10,076.44 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:34:17 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:33:13 P.M.
+1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:35:21 P.M.
-2 min
2 tx
6,328 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:32:02 P.M.
+2 min
1 tx
7,000 QUAI • 15 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:36:25 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:30:57 P.M.
+3 min
3 tx
7,000 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:37:29 P.M.
-4 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:29:54 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
10,076.44 QUAI
Whale alertPrimary driver of this spikeAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:34:09 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0021D5682D979Bc2819664b52eed165D22c59c1C
All transfers in this selected minute
3 transactions
2.5 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:34:31 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x000e00da6cfe330a9a53b3290f41c38a2f5f896c1609b0e06e5d1ecb069562c2
10,076.44 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceOutflow from whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:34:09 P.M.
From: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
To: 0x0021D5682D979Bc2819664b52eed165D22c59c1C
Tx: 0x0010005118824a887d39c6a94e5fcb51a799b0a4fb2efee4637f7bc79863659e
300 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:34:09 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x00730063571d27cfc20f80c0d700fa3c912f2809e664d94d49c739fb4e5e5ab7
