Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 9:11:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 9:12:00 P.M.
Partially observable spike
medium confidence
100% coverage
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 619.25
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.49
Unexplained QI: 297.51
Facts
Pattern: Distributed activity
Dominant transfer: 20% of explained volume
Relative context
0.2x above local average
1.0x next minute
Interpretation
Visible rows explain most of the spike, with no single transfer dominating.
The spike appears distributed, but some of the bucket still remains unexplained.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
8
Observable rows
7
87.5% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
22
Asset volume
619.25 QUAI
300 QI
Avg confidence
67.4%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
medium priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
Dominant behavior: mixed flow
mixed_flow + medium confidence + 619 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 35
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: medium • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 visible transfer rows
Confidence medium • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 9:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 7 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (mixed flow).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
551.36 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
Net sender
Unknown type
120.95 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
Net sender
Unknown type
113.88 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
Net sender
Unknown type
107.33 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
Net sender
Unknown type
106.53 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 551.36 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm mixed flow still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Partially observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
29 tx
2,223.97 QUAI • 41 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:10:44 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
0 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:09:40 P.M.
+1 min
8 tx
619.25 QUAI • 22 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:11:49 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate52 tx
21,010.52 QUAI • 72 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:08:36 P.M.
+2 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 9 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:12:53 P.M.
-3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 16 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:07:31 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 8 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:13:57 P.M.
+4 min
4 tx
197.59 QUAI • 23 addresses
10/28/2026, 9:15:01 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
120.95 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
7 transactions
67.9 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0000E74F55B4e6971AE2A43Ea30f4ae9F9f5607F
To: 0x00398f4AdA8f0353F82df103afCDb6DF33AB41C7
Tx: 0x001e0031a6be326af5cd2547a48891a1dbbb5a6c79b2f185f33a2d22e78c03f9
113.88 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x007e005f956752d2a1a0f4f3ca7dad61c230eb27d555ad43d1cff2d7d10ede1c
107.33 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x007f71E05a9e44077ED40d00F1f8AFF9C9013B05
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00060057da71d772bd4fa15cda719ccab4273540a024e61668a9be2d72e21fe2
102.67 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x005b02a40e1057E2C355B911405c9c67e7810794
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x001100579a9dda58758d8c63cde8aa7cb20e0deba5c523d8867ee4c0448d9740
106.53 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x007ab0833c16867dBF36f29E51DE8C96C1f9CcCe
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x004b002a231c099685d6be9da2583e2b790eabb6833b2789729197ddd1da82d3
120.95 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:16 P.M.
From: 0x005325141fA6436671A1562F1bf0EDa748E498DF
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x0025001fdb9da8ab05ef06a901880ded8f03af8c00b84a64d9c524306a0fd7bc
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 9:11:10 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x005d00afb8e187fcc1596d6b6db76badf2cc5303cb454b4344f7107fe46b91af
