Spike bucket
10/28/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Minute-level breakdown for Cyprus-1: top transfers, active addresses, confidence, and whale-alert context.
Window: 10/28/2026, 4:11:00 P.M. to 10/28/2026, 4:12:00 P.M.
Fully observable spike
high confidence
100% coverage
High-confidence spike
Coverage
Explained QUAI: 807.12
Unexplained QUAI: 0
Explained QI: 2.49
Unexplained QI: 0
Facts
Pattern: Mixed spike
Dominant transfer: 38% of explained volume
Relative context
Interpretation
This spike is explained by a mix of visible transfers, with one stronger contributor.
No single transfer fully dominates the explained volume.
Shard
Cyprus-1
Bucket tx
6
Observable rows
6
100.0% of bucket activity rendered as rows
Unique addresses
8
Asset volume
0 QUAI
2.49 QI
Avg confidence
68.3%
Dominant source: account-shape-default
Event intelligence
high priorityWhat happened
Top actor concentration: 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
Dominant behavior: distribution
distribution + high confidence + 0 QUAI
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Importance score: 55
Why this spike matters now
Top actor concentration around 0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a • 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772.
No repeated counterparty pattern detected yet.
Confidence context: high • Source context: account-shape-default
Evidence & confidence
Limited evidence • Source coverage not explicitly available
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 visible transfer rows
Confidence high • Source account-shape-default
Limits: limited transfer depth in current window • no repeated pair pattern yet
Data provenance & freshness
Source health: limited • High freshness drift
Stale context window • Broad source coverage
Last updated: 10/28/2026, 4:11:00 P.M.
Coverage gaps appear limited
Based on: 1 related signal • 6 transfer rows • 2 sources • Sources: account-shape-default • spike_detail_window
Freshness/coverage limits reduce confidence; treat this as directional context, not complete proof.
Data reliability is degraded; confidence, guidance, and KPI interpretation should be treated conservatively.
Limits: context is stale; confidence should be treated conservatively • transfer sample depth is limited in the current window • freshness drift is high across the visible sample window
Why now
Watching status suggests a follow-up scan. Probable actor type is exchange (high confidence).
What to do next
Prioritize exchange-bound and exchange-outflow checks first.
What to verify
- Confirm behavior (distribution).
- Validate exchange context using label/source evidence.
- Identity hint: Explicit label identifies exchange context.
Top actors in this event
MEXC hot wallet
Net receiver
Exchange
807.12 QUAI across 5 visible rows
Known watch context
0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
Net sender
Unknown type
305.51 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x007d3C36Dd1a711965080F85c7A9525a168F3afA
Net sender
Unknown type
149.12 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
Net sender
Unknown type
123.72 QUAI across 1 visible row
0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
Net sender
Unknown type
119.2 QUAI across 1 visible row
Relationship intelligence
Repeated flow pairs
No repeated pair pattern detected in the current visible sample.
Type concentration
To exchange: 807.12 QUAI
From exchange: 0 QUAI
Whale to whale: 0 QUAI
Evidence checks
Read-only spike evidence. Canonical investigations are evaluated by the server.
- Confirm distribution still matches latest flow.
- Recheck context: Fully observable spike • Cyprus-1.
- Review latest signal or spike before changing status.
Autonomous outcome
Read-only canonical source
Cyprus-1 spike
This spike combines meaningful size, confidence, and actor concentration in a short time window.
Outcome is assigned by the autonomous evaluator.
View investigationsNearby active minutes
Use these when the signal spills into adjacent minutes
Selected minute
13 tx
588.6 QUAI • 31 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:10:40 P.M.
-1 min
1 tx
95.8 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:09:34 P.M.
-2 min
Best candidate54 tx
826.47 QUAI • 73 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:08:30 P.M.
+2 min
6 tx
807.12 QUAI • 25 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:12:44 P.M.
+3 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 20 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:13:48 P.M.
-4 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 18 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:07:26 P.M.
+4 min
2 tx
0 QUAI • 11 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:14:52 P.M.
+5 min
0 tx
0 QUAI • 19 addresses
10/28/2026, 4:15:56 P.M.
Biggest whale alert
305.51 QUAI
Whale alertAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
QUAI whale transfer detected on Cyprus-1
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
All transfers in this selected minute
6 transactions
149.12 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x007d3C36Dd1a711965080F85c7A9525a168F3afA
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x006600013a49d5f042be5d2e3d6f63292eec9d4589aa8b1d8f6fac42a12052b8
123.72 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x006244895022ca036870DAF226abF36f7aFA068A
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x00550032c9a724c3a0e47cb7627d94d88dfabf44653607443a863be19063893d
109.57 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x00095148E36DA3ca00ADc55DE9a8AF7c0Bc01bd3
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002b00212315c41cfdb3892d4f137011bcfec229c9d904802ae309d30b3201ba
305.51 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x002315c62af82A029Bba50946D33d94AF320B772
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x003700645b746f557bd78b1b84a53425b48208dde2e5568de50baa7c33639b1f
119.2 QUAI
Observed transferAccount Shape Default62.0% confidenceInflow to whale
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:56 P.M.
From: 0x0018a32697649D2e5EC67Db691b7782F35E81DB4
To: MEXC hot wallet
0x006243e4eE6C2CF6F993036f27f0A88f265Ddb4a
Exchange
Tx: 0x002f0050f987c4942b4796ee977602128dbc31b3b722acf91d36ebc88fa3e8bb
2.49 QI
Observed transferAddress Path Single100.0% confidence
Cyprus-1
10/28/2026, 4:11:49 P.M.
From: 0x0021056605e412F067d5761e7d398C416868d5cA
To: 0x00958f0EfdbBDab849Ff53c2Ecb5168A58dfdAeB
Tx: 0x001b00a8bdee0fa4ad0302bf64533a970b643e9be08042fc1268a201b131d8af